Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.785487 2.054581 2.350461 2.699948 3.101551 3.548698 4.084519
2025-06-01 1.395275 1.743526 2.158685 2.690195 3.352981 4.152833 5.192526
2025-06-08 1.110077 1.489502 1.974522 2.640247 3.531174 4.683881 6.291533
2025-06-15 0.973159 1.390864 1.958892 2.788239 3.969956 5.596341 8.011025
2025-06-22 0.837088 1.266075 1.882724 2.834400 4.268923 6.355837 9.633384
2025-06-29 0.712151 1.133849 1.771284 2.805807 4.446912 6.957579 11.107125
2025-07-06 0.591205 0.986574 1.612362 2.675887 4.443789 7.276034 12.181308
2025-07-13 0.541496 0.943860 1.608478 2.787336 4.833854 8.255694 14.445216
2025-07-20 0.502615 0.912421 1.616807 2.917060 5.267601 9.357786 17.062529
2025-07-27 0.463373 0.873884 1.606325 3.009981 5.645794 10.407521 19.725769
2025-08-03 0.422044 0.825112 1.570063 3.049105 5.928011 11.316228 22.247136
2025-08-10 0.370916 0.750304 1.475280 2.963733 5.961226 11.762697 23.940803
2025-08-17 0.317845 0.665844 1.354004 2.816349 5.865959 11.975057 25.256803
2025-08-24 0.285743 0.619328 1.301334 2.799989 6.033451 12.731658 27.800482
2025-08-31 0.254126 0.569220 1.234491 2.744495 6.111315 13.315432 30.066966
2025-09-07 0.244023 0.564318 1.262020 2.896211 6.658074 14.964662 34.909809
2025-09-14 0.226394 0.539907 1.243703 2.942909 6.976667 16.157896 38.896594
2025-09-21 0.205214 0.504149 1.194998 2.912502 7.112675 16.956824 42.077923
2025-09-28 0.179769 0.454485 1.107423 2.777233 6.979680 17.111785 43.726308
2025-10-05 0.172349 0.448105 1.121719 2.892676 7.476478 18.837859 49.537224
2025-10-12 0.166400 0.444582 1.142456 3.027171 8.040309 20.804441 56.255997
2025-10-19 0.158766 0.435559 1.148147 3.123523 8.518981 22.620284 62.847441
2025-10-26 0.149039 0.419527 1.133616 3.164077 8.854837 24.110747 68.779031